U.S.-China relations, which showed extreme chaos for a while, appear to have entered a calming phase since the second half of last year. Therefore, in light of the recent U.S.-China relationship, it may be judged that the possibility of conflict between the U.S. and China over the Taiwan Strait is not high. However, we must consider the reality that unimaginable wars are taking place in Europe and the Middle East.
It is significant that the United States, which had played a role as a stabilizer, is no longer able to project its power to all areas of the world due to the relative decline of American power. After deciding to do its best to confront its new strategic competitor, China, the United States is currently focusing on the Indo-Pacific region. As the U.S. strategic stance changes, countries and groups seeking to change the status quo that have been dissatisfied with the U.S.-led world order appear to be expanding one by one, engaging in an arms race and increasing instability. So far, the United States has provided stability in major regions by mainly joining forces with second-tier countries or groups of countries in the region to control the projection of power by first-tier countries. We are currently witnessing the instability that arises as the role of the United States declines in Europe and the Middle East.